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Statistik Perkembangan Agama Tercepat Didunia, Islamkah?

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Statistik Perkembangan Agama Tercepat Didunia, Islamkah?

Postby kuta bali » Fri Feb 04, 2011 6:12 am

Sumber:
http://fastestgrowingreligion.com/numbers.html

Kalau dilihat dari Jumlah Pemeluk Baru karena konversi (mualaf atau murtadin):

Image Image

Disini Kristiani paling banyak karena konversi atau perpindahan agama:

Detailnya:
Dalam satu tahun jumlah pemeluk baru karena pindah adalah:
1. Christianity 2,501,396
2. Islam 865,558
3. Buddhism 156,609
4. Sikhism 28,961
5. Baha'is 26,333

Jumlah Murtadin adalah 3 kali lipat jumlah mualaf.

Grafiknya:

Image

Rangking jumlah pemeluk agama sampai tahun 1950:

1900 1) Christianity 2) Chinese folk-religions 3) Hinduism
1970 1) Christianity 2) Islam 3) Hinduism
1990 1) Christianity 2) Islam 3) Hinduism
1995 1) Christianity 2) Islam 3) Hinduism
2000 1) Christianity 2) Islam 3) Hinduism
2025 1) Christianity 2) Islam 3) Hinduism
2050 1) Christianity 2) Islam 3) Hinduism

Jadi sampai 2050, Kristiani masih mayoritas.

Jumlah pertambahan mutlak dari pemeluk agama.

1. Christianity 25,210,195
2. Islam 22,588,676
3. Hinduism 12,533,734
4. Chinese folk-religions 3,715,548
5. Buddhism 3,687,527

Islam mendekati Kristen karena:

Image Image

Tingkat kesuburan Muslim 2x lipat walaupun kecenderungannya menurun.

Perkiraan jumlah pemeluk agama dari tahun 2000, 2025 dan 2050.
Image Image
Jadi Muslim menjadi mayoritas pada tahun 2050 adalah mitos.

Sumber:
Britannica Encyclopedia
The CIA World Fact Book, 2008 ed
adherents.com
World Christian Encyclopaedia
Last edited by kuta bali on Sat Feb 05, 2011 6:55 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Perkembangan Agama Tercepat Didunia, Islamkah?

Postby kuta bali » Fri Feb 04, 2011 6:16 am

What is The Fastest Growing Religion?

Short answer: Christianity

Slightly longer answer: Christianity is the fastest growing religion in absolute growth, meaning the fastest growing religion in the annual increase of new adherents. The absolute growth number is calculated as the annual number of new Christian converts subtracted the number of ex-Christians + number of births subtracted number of deaths (new converts - former Christians + births - deaths).

Christianity is the fastest growing religion at both parameters, both in absolute number of new converts and absolute number of new Christians due to population growth. In all, this sums up to an additional approximately 25.2 million new Christians annually(Table J). 22.7 million due to population growth and 2.5 million due to conversions(Table J).

Another slightly longer answer: Another way to calculate growth is in relative terms. How much does a particular religion grow (or shrink) compared to last year. Since relative growth favours smaller base numbers, in terms of relative growth, the fastest growing religion in the world will be some very small obscure sect few people outside the sect have ever heard of. The mathematics of relative growth dictates that it much easier to post impressive sounding relative growth rates, if your base numbers are small. A small sect growing from 5 to 10 adherents, sums up a relative growth of 100% - but with only 5 new adherents. A slightly larger sect of 100 adherents, adding 5 new adherents to this only results in a relative growth of 5%. Relative growth favours smaller religions.

Of the 12 classic world religions, Zoroastrianism(Term 9) is the fastest growing religion. Growing at an annual pace of approximately 2.65%(Table J). But note that this is with only 58.5 thousand new adherents (zoroastrians) annually, or 0.2% of Christianity's approx. 25 millions new Christians.

The 12 classic world religions are(Term 11): Christianity, Islam, Hinduism, Buddhism, Sikhism, Judaism, Bahá'í, Confucianism, Jainism, Shinto, Taoism and Zoroastrianis

What about Islam. I've been told/heard/read that Islam is the Fastest Growing Religion: Islam is the second fastest growing religion. Tagging Christianity by an annual growth of approximately 2.6 million less Muslims than Christians. Approx. 1 million less due to slower population growth and approx. 1.5 million less due to fewer conversions to Islam than to Christianity(Table J).

Longer answer:

Summary

Christianity is the fastest growing religion and projections of current trends will must likely result in it progressively distancing it further from other large religions.

Text

Christianity is the fastest growing religion at the only parameter for which such a statement has any meaning: the absolute number of new adherents. Other religions are showing faster growth trends at relative growth, but this is a construed and almost meaningless way to calculate growth rates, since it speaks nothing of how many new adherents the various religions in actual get.

α) The effect of demographics and global falling birth rates

Religions that obtain the largest part of their overall growth through basic population increase (rather than conversions) are going to be the most vulnerable to population growth stagnation. Of the four largest religions this will be most vivid for (in order of affect) Hinduism, Islam and Buddhism, which all source a much larger part of their growth from population compared to Christianity(Table M).

All the larger religions are still growing at a fast pace through basic population increase. A rising sea floats all boats. But of a greater future importance will be the comparatively large number of people who chose to become Christians through conversions. At an annually rate of approx. 2.5 million, the number of people who freely chose to become Christians is more than twice the combined number of people converting to all the rest of the twelve tabulated world religions(Table L).

As a result of the demographic transition phase from a high fertility / high mortality to low fertility / low mortality, the demographic trend the last half a century has been steadily towards lower population growth rates. Consequentially with a continuation of the current falling population growth rates, conversions are destined to become increasingly more important for the overall growth.

The world average total fertility rate has declined from 3.50 child per woman in 1989 to 2.61 child per woman in 2008(Table N). A 25% decline, resulting in an average 0.89 children less per woman. In just twenty years. From a level clearly above the replacement level, to a number only slightly over or around the replacement level. The replacement level is the point at which the number of births per woman will over time result in a stable population; neither rising now shrinking, but exactly replacing itself. This declining fertility is shared by all the larger religions. But not shared equally. Starting from 1989 the weighted average fertility rates for all Christian dominated countries has declined from an average of 3.26 children per woman to 2.60 children per woman(Table N). A 20% decline or an average of 0.66 less children per woman. From a level below the world average to a level about on par with the world average. Whereas the weighted average fertility rates for all Muslim dominated countries has declined from an average of 5.17 children per woman to 3.30 children per woman. A 36% decline or an average 1.87 less children per woman. Starting from a higher level the Muslim percentwise decline is only about a third higher than the Christian (36% vers. 25%), but in absolute numbers this translates into about three times as large a drop in fertility (1.87 vers. 0.66).

This relative smaller declined for Christian predominated countries is mostly due that many Christian countries have already passed through the demographic transition phase, and starting from a lower fertility level (in 1989) not declining so fast - indeed the last two years have showed an increase. But also due that a number of Christian countries (in south Sahara Africa) are still early in their transition phase and so have a very high fertility.

The average fertility rate for Muslim predominated countries in 2008 remains higher than for Christian predominated countries, although the gap from 1989 has been reduced by an approximately 44%. By a projecting of the current trends - slow Christian fertility declined - rapid Muslim decline, the average Muslim and world/Christian fertility rates will converge in around 2022 or 2023. Overall population growth can, and probably will, still be higher for Muslim predominately countries for a number of years thereafter. But this will be due to a demographics momentum and the consequence of an aging population, which will even out later in the century.

β) The effect of demographics and different levels of replacement levels

Another element to factor in is an approximation of the replacement level. A often used rule of thumb puts this at around 2.1 children per women. This indicates that a very high rate of newborn babies will live to the end of their reproductive age (set at around 45 years). However this approximation will only fit Western and industrialised countries with a highly developed health infrastructure, a general satisfactory nutritional level, an educated population, a well functioning sanitary system, etc. which all contribute to lower mortally rates and lengthen life span. Countries with lower standards will sadly invariable experience a higher mortality and thus a higher replacement level. Sometimes considerable higher. Someplace as high as 3.5 children per women. Indicating a comparatively large number of newborn babies will not live to the end of their reproductive age. Populations with a high replacement level will likewise need a high total fertility for the population to remain stable. Christian predominantly nations are on average better off economically, and in regard to health and education, meaning they will have a lower replacement level, than the average for the rest of the world, and will need a lower fertility rate for the same population growth.
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Re: Statistik Perkembangan Agama Tercepat Didunia, Islamkah?

Postby KadalBuluk » Sun Feb 06, 2011 12:15 am

@ Kuta Bali

Bro buat yg jumlah penduduk agama2 di indonesia yang paling terbaru yaa kira2 2 tahun yang lalu (2009-2010) ada gak dari situs2 lembaga yang independen?

yg bukan bentukan DEPAG atau MUI
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Re: Statistik Perkembangan Agama Tercepat Didunia, Islamkah?

Postby kuta bali » Sun Feb 06, 2011 1:26 am

KadalBuluk wrote:@ Kuta Bali

Bro buat yg jumlah penduduk agama2 di indonesia yang paling terbaru yaa kira2 2 tahun yang lalu (2009-2010) ada gak dari situs2 lembaga yang independen?

yg bukan bentukan DEPAG atau MUI


Saya sudah mencari diinternet, tapi tidak ada.
Tapi yang jelas saya yakin Islam menurun jumlahnya, kalau gak menurun kenapa ini semua ditutupi rapat2?
Bahkan majalah Syiar menyebutkan kalau jumlah muslim tinggal 75% saja.
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Re: Statistik Perkembangan Agama Tercepat Didunia, Islamkah?

Postby asal usil » Mon Feb 07, 2011 2:52 pm

kuta bali wrote:Bahkan majalah Syiar menyebutkan kalau jumlah muslim tinggal 75% saja.


Minta linknya dunk...

tar disangka hoax lagi... :-#
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Re: Statistik Perkembangan Agama Tercepat Didunia, Islamkah?

Postby asal usil » Mon Feb 07, 2011 2:55 pm

kuta bali wrote:Bahkan majalah Syiar menyebutkan kalau jumlah muslim tinggal 75% saja.


Minta linknya dunk...

tar disangka hoax lagi... :-#

what do you think about this :

Pew Research: World Muslim population doubling in 20 yrs

http://peakoil.com/consumption/pew-rese ... in-20-yrs/
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Re: Statistik Perkembangan Agama Tercepat Didunia, Islamkah?

Postby kuta bali » Tue Feb 08, 2011 12:38 am

asal usil wrote:Minta linknya dunk...

tar disangka hoax lagi... :-#

what do you think about this :

Pew Research: World Muslim population doubling in 20 yrs

http://peakoil.com/consumption/pew-rese ... in-20-yrs/


Ini dari Pew juga:

Sumber:
http://pewforum.org/executive-summary-islam-and-christianity-in-sub-saharan-africa.aspx

Pada tahun 1900, Jumlah Islam 2x lipat jumlah Kristen, namun sekarang terbalik 180 derajat.
Jumlah Kristen 2x lipat jumlah Islam di Afrika.
Dan berkembang dari cuma 7 juta ,menjadi 470 juta.

Image

ALHAMDULADI

Pemetaan Jumlah Islam dan Kristen di Afrika.
Warna hijau adalah Islam dan biru adalah Kristen.
Seperti Sudah selatan yang mayoritas Kristen, maka Afrika bagian selatan mayoritas juga Kristen.

Image

Muslim banyak melakukan kekerasan:
Image

In little more than a century, the religious landscape of sub-Saharan Africa has changed dramatically. As of 1900, both Muslims and Christians were relatively small minorities in the region. The vast majority of people practiced traditional African religions, while adherents of Christianity and Islam combined made up less than a quarter of the population, according to historical estimates from the World Religion Database.

Since then, however, the number of Muslims living between the Sahara Desert and the Cape of Good Hope has increased more than 20-fold, rising from an estimated 11 million in 1900 to approximately 234 million in 2010. The number of Christians has grown even faster, soaring almost 70-fold from about 7 million to 470 million. Sub-Saharan Africa now is home to about one-in-five of all the Christians in the world (21%) and more than one-in-seven of the world's Muslims (15%).

While sub-Saharan Africa has almost twice as many Christians as Muslims, on the African continent as a whole the two faiths are roughly balanced, with 400 million to 500 million followers each. Since northern Africa is heavily Muslim and southern Africa is heavily Christian, the great meeting place is in the middle, a 4,000-mile swath from Somalia in the east to Senegal in the west.
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Re: Statistik Perkembangan Agama Tercepat Didunia, Islamkah?

Postby kuta bali » Tue Feb 08, 2011 12:41 am

asal usil wrote:Minta linknya dunk...

tar disangka hoax lagi... :-#

what do you think about this :

Pew Research: World Muslim population doubling in 20 yrs

http://peakoil.com/consumption/pew-rese ... in-20-yrs/



Kamu bisa baca statisti gak?
Perkembangan Islam berasal dari banyak anak, bukan karena mualaf.
Mualaf dunia cuma 1/3 nya dari yang keluar dari Islam.

Baca grafik2 diatas.

Islam memang berkembang banyak, itu karena mereka melahirkan lebih banyak dari Kristen.



TAPI!!!!!



Lihat trend tingkat kesuburan diatas? Trend tingkat kesuburan menurun, dengan menurunnya tingkat kesuburan tetapi dengan tingginya konversi, maka dikemudian hari kenaikan Islam tidak significant lagi.
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Re: Statistik Perkembangan Agama Tercepat Didunia, Islamkah?

Postby kuta bali » Tue Feb 08, 2011 12:45 am

kuta bali wrote:Bahkan majalah Syiar menyebutkan kalau jumlah muslim tinggal 75% saja.


asal usil wrote:Minta linknya dunk...

tar disangka hoax lagi... :-#


Cari di google dengan kata kunci:

"tabloid SIAR edisi No. 43, 18-24 Nopember 1999 hal. 14"

Poinnya seberapa pun tingkat kenaikan jumlah umat Islam, namun kalau cuma karena kelahiran sama saja, itu bukan karena popularitas.
Popularitas Islam sudah jelas rendah dilihat dari rendahnya jumlah konversi.

Sekarang Afrika yang tingkat kelahirannya tinggi sudah mulai di kuasai Kristen, jadi tidak menutup kemungkinan Jumlah Kristen meledak karena baby boom Murtadin di Afrika.
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Re: Statistik Perkembangan Agama Tercepat Didunia, Islamkah?

Postby saya_cinta_damai » Tue Feb 08, 2011 12:56 am

kuta bali wrote:Cari di google dengan kata kunci:

"tabloid SIAR edisi No. 43, 18-24 Nopember 1999 hal. 14"

Poinnya seberapa pun tingkat kenaikan jumlah umat Islam, namun kalau cuma karena kelahiran sama saja, itu bukan karena popularitas.
Popularitas Islam sudah jelas rendah dilihat dari rendahnya jumlah konversi.


yg ini mksudnya ya bang?
http://www.masjidrayavip.org/index.php? ... &Itemid=98

ini dari situs Islam sendiri :

Sekarang ini banyak terjadi upaya pemurtadan. Dalam tabloid SIAR edisi No. 43, 18-24 November 1999, halaman 14 memuat data yang sangat mencengangkan. Umat Islam, menurut BPS (Biro Pusat Statistik) semula berjumlah 87,3% (dibulatkan menjadi 90%). Sedangkan umat Kristen Protestan hanya 6%, umat Katolik 3,6%, Hindu 1,8%, Budha 1%, dan agama lainnya hanya 0,3%. Akan tetapi, dalam waktu yang relatif singkat jumlah umat Islam turun drastis menjadi 75%. Sedangkan umat Kristen Protestan dan Katolik jumlahnya semakin melejit.


atau dibuat thread baru aja bang?
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Re: Statistik Perkembangan Agama Tercepat Didunia, Islamkah?

Postby kuta bali » Tue Feb 08, 2011 2:21 am

saya_cinta_damai wrote:atau dibuat thread baru aja bang?


Silakan, kalau ingin bikin thread baru gak perlu lapor, semakin banyak thread semakin baik karena google semakin senang.
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Re: Statistik Perkembangan Agama Tercepat Didunia, Islamkah?

Postby asal usil » Thu Mar 10, 2011 4:55 pm

saya_cinta_damai wrote:ini dari situs Islam sendiri :

"Sekarang ini banyak terjadi upaya pemurtadan. Dalam tabloid SIAR edisi No. 43, 18-24 November 1999, halaman 14 memuat data yang sangat mencengangkan. Umat Islam, menurut BPS (Biro Pusat Statistik) semula berjumlah 87,3% (dibulatkan menjadi 90%). Sedangkan umat Kristen Protestan hanya 6%, umat Katolik 3,6%, Hindu 1,8%, Budha 1%, dan agama lainnya hanya 0,3%. Akan tetapi, dalam waktu yang relatif singkat jumlah umat Islam turun drastis menjadi 75%. Sedangkan umat Kristen Protestan dan Katolik jumlahnya semakin melejit".


Bang kuta punya data sensus terbaru ga tahun 2010. klo angkanya masih dikisaran 85-86% berarti umat Islam meningkat lagi 10% dari 75% tahun 1999 menjadi 85% tahun 2010.. gitu ya...? :-k
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Re: Statistik Perkembangan Agama Tercepat Didunia, Islamkah?

Postby kuta bali » Fri Mar 11, 2011 1:17 am

asal usil wrote:Bang kuta punya data sensus terbaru ga tahun 2010. klo angkanya masih dikisaran 85-86% berarti umat Islam meningkat lagi 10% dari 75% tahun 1999 menjadi 85% tahun 2010.. gitu ya...? :-k


Kamu harus tanya dari sumber yang sama, silakan kontak majalah syiar, saya hanya kopas saja.
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Re: Statistik Perkembangan Agama Tercepat Didunia, Islamkah?

Postby kukuruyuk » Sun Mar 13, 2011 10:33 am

Mantabs bro informasinya,,,terimakasih banyak yah,,, gue ijin copas yah bro,,,biar muslimin di facebook nyang suka2 koar2 pada mingkem :finga:
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Re: Statistik Perkembangan Agama Tercepat Didunia, Islamkah?

Postby asal usil » Mon Mar 21, 2011 4:12 pm

kukuruyuk wrote:suka2 koar2 pada mingkem :finga:


Paling koar2 klo muslim di eropa fastest growing religion ya emang bener sih...!
emang kenyataannya sih....!

Klo agama sebelah kan fastest growing religion di sub sahara afrika
yang berbanding lurus dengan fastest growing AIDS pandemic region di seluruh dunia...


selamat copas...
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Re: Statistik Perkembangan Agama Tercepat Didunia, Islamkah?

Postby dione » Tue Apr 12, 2011 3:54 am

banyak sekali penyakit mematikan sumbangan kafir pd dunia,mulai dr Aids,meningitis,sampai flu babi dll
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Re: Statistik Perkembangan Agama Tercepat Didunia, Islamkah?

Postby kuta bali » Tue Apr 12, 2011 5:26 am

dione wrote:banyak sekali penyakit mematikan sumbangan kafir pd dunia,mulai dr Aids,meningitis,sampai flu babi dll


Tapi yang mati banyak karena perang Muslim vs Muslim loh.
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Re: Statistik Perkembangan Agama Tercepat Didunia, Islamkah?

Postby reus » Tue Apr 12, 2011 8:56 am

asal usil wrote:Paling koar2 klo muslim di eropa fastest growing religion ya emang bener sih...!
emang kenyataannya sih....!

Klo agama sebelah kan fastest growing religion di sub sahara afrika
yang berbanding lurus dengan fastest growing AIDS pandemic region di seluruh dunia...

selamat copas...

biasakan yah bung kalau ngomong pakai data yah
biar seru juga...
islam bukan yang fastest juga berdasarkan informasi yang aku dapat
tapi Budha
ratenya 1,39
Islam 0,7
Kristen 0,5
Code: Select all
http://www.bible.ca/islam/islam-myths-fastest-growing.htm

the continent "Europe" we observe that while Muslims are growing faster than Christians, Buddhists claim the prize for the fastest growing religion at a rate of 1.39. Muslims make up only 5% of the population in Europe and most of the Muslim growth in Europe is from immigration. Although 77% of Europeans are Christians, Buddhists, not Muslims, are the fastest growing religion in the continent of Europe.

katanya sih cepat karena imigrasi yang besar2an
dan natalitas yang tinggi
well perlu diappreciate juga sih prestasinya
but ngomong2 soal perbandingan yang disebutkan bro asal usil diatas
sebagai engineer, pemikiran seperti itu maaf
terkesan sangat ****
karena yah seperti yang aku bilang data lah yang bermain
kalau cuma asumsi entar komponennya jujur banyak loh
contoh
1. persentase jumlah muslim dan jumlah kristen yang kena
2. saat isalm berkuasa, intensitas AIDS gimana, terus saat kristen gimana juga
jadi banyak lah..
makanya..argumen kayak gitu cuma fatamorgana aja
yah kecuali ada fakta yang diembedded
dione wrote:banyak sekali penyakit mematikan sumbangan kafir pd dunia,mulai dr Aids,meningitis,sampai flu babi dll

tapi banyak juga sumbangsih mereka yang positif bro..
kalau gak senang ama kafir, gak usah pakai sumbangsih mereka juga yang positifnya
biar pas posisinya netral gitu... :)
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Re: Statistik Perkembangan Agama Tercepat Didunia, Islamkah?

Postby tania » Tue Apr 12, 2011 3:21 pm

temuan baru tak akan ada tanpa temuan dasar dr para ilmuwan muslim,spt angka,notifikasi nada,ilmu matematuka dasar,aljabar,dasar otomatisasi,engsel,optik dll,juga otaknya serta kesempatan u/ bisa membuat temuan itu karunia Allah SWT,lol! Nah,kl timbulnya penyakit2 itu,akibat ulah kafir sendiri,sdh dilarang eh msh aja jorok makan babi dan brg2 haram lainnya,jd timbul macam2 penyakit mematikan,manusia seluruh dunia jd ikut menanggung akibat keboudohan kafir.lol


minta buktinya donk klo ilmuwan mulsim yg nemuin itu smua,biar gak dibilang muslim asbun...

klo babi haram knapa auwloh kamu tu sibuk nyiptain babi?gk ada kerjaan apa!!!!!
klo makan babi haram..tapi kok mau naik haji disuntik dulu ya pake vaksin yg mengandung babi..?? :butthead:

klo kamu gak suka ama org kafir ya gak usah pake produk kafir sekalian...gak usah internetan,pake hp,motor,mobil dll ITU BUATAN ORANG KAFIR... \:D/
kamu tinggal aja di goa sono... munafik... [-(
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Re: Statistik Perkembangan Agama Tercepat Didunia, Islamkah?

Postby Rasionalis » Wed Apr 13, 2011 12:30 am

...Syukurlah kalau rasio populasi muslim di negeri ini terus menurun. Tetapi, berapa puluh tahun lagi populasi muslim baru menyusut hingga di bawah 50%? Selama populasi muslim masih di atas 50%, negara ini akan tetap menjadi "negara bukan" (bukan negara sekular dan bukan negara agama, tetapi uang negara digunakan untuk kepentingan agama, terutama Islam ).
...Selama suatu negara tidak beralih menjadi negara sekular murni, agama Islam yang ingin mengeksploitasi negara, akan tetap menjadi penghambat pembangunan. Perekonomian kita akan berjalan pelan-pelan di run-way dan tidak akan tinggal landas (take off).
...Agaknya mayoritas di antara kita orang dewasa, terutama generasi saya, tidak akan sempat melihat pembangunan yang melesat di negeri ini.
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